Thursday, May 9, 2013

Early MLB MVP Talk



It’s just over a month into the MLB season, so let’s have some good ole’ MVP talk.  I know it’s early but I just saw a 2014 NFL Mock Draft, so at least I am a little more time relevant.

 Justin Upton - .276/.386/.629,  27 runs, 12 Hrs., 21 RBIs, 2.0 WAR

So this is what the Justin Upton you drafted in the first round last year looks like.  You know his power is there and his numbers will only get better with the anticipated return of the “Say Heyward Kid” and inevitable turn around from his big brother B.J.    His 25% K rate (29th highest) is alarming but he is neutralizing it with 15% walk rate (12th highest).  His BABIP sits at a league average .286, so nothing out of the ordinary there.  Expect this kid to carry the Braves to the playoffs with his “Sky is the Limit” ability.


Miguel Cabrera - .381/.459/.603,  26 runs, 6 Hrs., 37 RBIs, 1.8 WAR

Is anyone surprised?  Actually let me rephrase that.  Would anyone be surprised if he won the Triple Crown Again?  The only thing de-railing this guy is an injury.  You would think there is some regression in order with his .400 BABIP but his career .347 BABIP assures us that he is immune to regression.  His fielding will always be a problem (-4.1 FLD) but he MORE than makes up for it with his bat.  I focus on competitive teams when I look for MVP candidates and the Tigers look primed for another AL Pennant race with Cabrera running the show. 


Paul Goldschmidt - .320/.413/.592, 22 Runs, 9 Hrs., 30 RBIs, 1.5 WAR

I love when young players with high expectations come to the Majors and meet them.  Goldschmidt fits the bill.  He leads his team (19-15) in BA, Homeruns, Rbis, OBP and Hits as well as in the clubhouse since the departure of Justin Upton.   His 30 ribbies lead the NL and his Diamondbacks are one of the early surprises in 2013.  I worry this team might eventually fall off (especially with Putz now facing elbow surgery) but if they can stay competitive until the end I think “Goldy Knocks” gets some votes.  

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