Wednesday, April 10, 2013

What To Make of New York Knicks 13-Game Win Streak


With the victory over the Wizards last night the Knicks clinched their first Atlantic Division title since 1994.  Their 13 game winning streak, which began on March 18th, is now only 5 games short of the franchise all time longest streak of 18 (69’).  Of course that 69’ team went on to win the NBA championship leading Knick fans to wonder if the recent success is a sign of things to come.  I have some bad news.  A list of the top 30 NBA single season win streaks (15+) shows us that late season winning streaks don’t correlate with NBA championships:

-       Of the top 30 longest winning streaks in NBA history, 11 of those teams went on to win a title that season

-       Of those 11 teams, who went on to win a title, 0 saw their winning streak start later than February 6th and only 3 of them began during the 2nd half of the season

-        None of the teams whose winning streaks began during March went on to win a title

o   90-91’ Blazers lost in WCF
o   96-97’ Jazz lost in Finals
o   94-95’ Spurs lost in WCF
o   93-94’ Knicks lost in Finals

There are a couple of reasons why late season winning streaks don’t equal NBA championships.  Teams tend to rest their players in preparation of the playoffs (exactly what the Miami Heat are doing right now).  Teams who are mathematically eliminated from playoff contention are tanking.  If you breakdown the Knicks 13 game win streak you’ll see 6 wins fit this criteria (Heat, Wizards, Magic, Bobcats and the Raptors twice).  Also, 2 wins during the streak against Boston came without Garnett and Rondo.  This isn’t meant to knock the Knicks, as they aren’t the ones who make the schedule, but if you’re looking to find a relationship between this Knick winning streak and a Championship then you will be disappointed.    

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