TIER 1
1. Adrian Peterson, MIN - Even with regression in line, still #1. Keep it simple stupid.
2. Jamaal Charles, KC - It's all about his usage. Back up RB is Knile Davis.
3. Doug Martin, TB - Nothing more important then getting back 2 starting guards (Carl Nicks and Davin Joseph)
TIER 2
4. Trent Richardson, CLE - 99.999999999 percent of RBs have injury history or some sort of red flag. He's progressing as expected, plays behind ELITE offensive line. Norval Effect ++++
5. C.J. Spiller, BUF - Type of guy who wins you weeks. Only a handful of backs can say that.
6. Arian Foster, HOU - Final 3 games of 2012 (Wk 16, Wildcard and Divisional Round) 70 carries, 326 yards, 4.66 ypc, 3 tds, 17 receptions, 1 rec. td. Not sure why EVERYONE thinks he broke down.
7. Ray Rice, BAL - It's hard to say Rice has peaked at 26. Pierce should only keep him fresh for the stretch run and Ray Ray should still dominate on passing downs.
TIER 3
8. Lesean McCoy, PHI - Concussion issues behind him and addition of Chip Kelly bode well for "Shady". He'll get his 250+ carries, depends on what he does with them.
9. Matt Forte, CHI - Trestman loves to throw and apparently wants Forte catching more balls = music to the ears of PPR owners.
10. Marshawn Lynch, SEA - His DUI trial is pushed back until late December killing all suspension rumors. 275+ carries and double digit Tds lock him into the top 10. Harvin will only help.
While most people are high on Doug Martin, and rightfully so, I would still have Foster rated over him. Like you fairly stated about foster having a strong few final games of the season when he came back from the injury. While noone compares to AP this year, at this point, I would say Foster would be my 2nd or third running back. I cant wait to see your next round of rankings as Stephen Jackson and Alfred Morris I notice did not make your top 10. Especially Morris, who will be a huge part of this offense again this year, especially since they are going to "try" and keep RG3 healthy, by force feeding this rookie standout as he enters his sophmore season. Oh yea! hes also in a Shannahan offense, its not like they have a history of running the ball or anything
ReplyDeleteWhen I'm drafting in the top 5 I want upside. I look at the guys I have ranked in the top 5 (not named AP) and I see lower statistical floors than Foster with much higher ceilings. Some may play it "safe" with Foster but I'm not if put in the situation.
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